About This Market
ShareAtlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox (6:45 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox (6:45 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-26
This market resolved on 2026-05-26. Boston Red Sox spread plus 4.5 was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox (6:45 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Boston Red Sox spread plus 4.5WINNER | — | 99% | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — |
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox (6:45 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Boston Red Sox spread plus 4.5 led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Over 12.5 runs scored at 99%, Over 2.5 runs scored at 99%, Over 3.5 runs scored at 99%.
Boston Red Sox spread plus 4.5 held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Boston Red Sox spread plus 4.5, Over 12.5 runs scored at 99% and Over 2.5 runs scored at 99% and Over 3.5 runs scored at 99% were the next closest contenders. The 90.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Boston Red Sox spread plus 4.5: 99¢ on Polymarket. Over 12.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Over 2.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Over 3.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. The 90.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Boston Red Sox spread plus 4.5 would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Boston wins the Atlanta vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Atlanta vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for May 26 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 3.5 | — | 95% | — |
Total under 11.5 | — | 92% | — |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 2.5 | — | 91% | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | 87% | — |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.5 | — | 85% | — |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 3.5 | — | 77% | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | 77% | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | 65% | — |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | 59% | — |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | 59% | — |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 2.5 | — | 58% | — |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.5 | 1% | 58% | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | 57% | — |
Atlanta Braves | 99% | 23% | 90% |
Boston Red Sox | 1% | 77% | 15% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | 44% | — |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 1.5 | — | 42% | — |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 42% | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | 42% | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | 42% | — |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | 35% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | 24% | — |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 3.5 | 1% | 23% | — |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 1.5 | 1% | 15% | — |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | 14% | — |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 10% | — |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | 9% | — |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 3.5 | 1% | 6% | — |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 4.5 | — | 1% | — |
Atlanta Braves
70.6% avg