Live prediction market odds for Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers (8:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-26
This market resolved on 2026-05-26. Over 10.5 runs scored was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers (8:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Over 10.5 runs scoredWINNER | 99% | — | — |
Over 11.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers (8:05 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Over 10.5 runs scored led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Over 11.5 runs scored at 99%, Over 12.5 runs scored at 99%, Over 13.5 runs scored at 99%.
Over 10.5 runs scored held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Over 10.5 runs scored, Over 11.5 runs scored at 99% and Over 12.5 runs scored at 99% and Over 13.5 runs scored at 99% were the next closest contenders. The 45.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Over 10.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Over 11.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Over 12.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Over 13.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. The 45.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Over 10.5 runs scored would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Texas wins the Houston vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Houston vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers, scheduled for May 26 at 8:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Over 13.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 5.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 6.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 7.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 8.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 9.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Texas wins by over 1.5 runs | 99% | — | — |
Texas wins by over 2.5 runs | 99% | — | — |
Texas Rangers | 99% | 54% | 98% |
Houston Astros | 1% | 46% | 8% |
Houston wins by over 1.5 runs | 1% | — | — |
Houston wins by over 2.5 runs | 1% | — | — |
Houston wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — |
Texas wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — |
Texas Rangers
83.7% avg
