Live prediction market odds for Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Kalshi
2027-01-01
Kalshi is tracking whether Trump will attempt to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor. This event holds implications for monetary policy and market stability, as leadership changes at the Federal Reserve can significantly influence economic direction and investor confidence.
Before 2027 is priced at 24.0% implied probability for the “Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor” event. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Trump's relationship with Powell, economic conditions, and public sentiment towards the Federal Reserve could all play a role. Additionally, political pressures and upcoming elections may impact his decision-making.
Firing Powell could lead to a shift in the Federal Reserve's approach to interest rates and inflation management. A new chair might prioritize different economic strategies, affecting both domestic and global markets.
Markets may react negatively to uncertainty surrounding leadership changes at the Federal Reserve. Investor confidence could waver, leading to volatility in stock prices and interest rates.
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Before 2027 leads at 24% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Before 2027 currently leads at 24% implied probability. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Before 2027
24.0% avg
