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Live prediction market odds for Ecuador vs Curacao. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi / Polymarket

Ecuador vs Curacao

2026-06-27

About This Market

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Ecuador and Curacao on June 27, 2026. The outcome of this game could impact team standings and qualification scenarios in international tournaments, making it a crucial event for both nations.

Ecuador leads Ecuador vs Curacao at 36.8% implied probability, followed by Curaçao at 13.9%. A 26.1% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

Live Markets

2 platforms
E
Ecuador
37% Avg
Kalshi80¢
Polymarket28¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
49.5%19¢80¢20¢81¢
PolymarketPolymarket
24.0%20¢28¢72¢80¢
C
CuraçaoARB
14% Avg
Kalshi50¢
Polymarket1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
27.0%4¢50¢50¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.0%1¢1¢99¢100¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is at stake in the Ecuador vs Curacao match?

The match could influence the qualification standings for upcoming international tournaments. Both teams are looking to secure valuable points.

How do prediction markets reflect the odds for this match?

Prediction markets provide real-time odds based on various factors, including team performance and player conditions. These odds can fluctuate as new information becomes available.

When is the Ecuador vs Curacao match scheduled?

The match is scheduled for June 27, 2026. Fans and analysts are closely monitoring this date as it approaches.

What is "Ecuador vs Curacao" and why does it matter?

Ecuador vs Curacao is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ecuador leads at 37% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Curaçao at 14%.

What is moving the odds on "Ecuador vs Curacao"?

Ecuador currently leads at 37% implied probability. Behind Ecuador, Curaçao at 14% are the next closest contenders. The 26.1% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oraclefifa.comConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread26.1%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Ecuador

36.8% avg

Market Rulebook: Ecuador vs Curacao

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Ecuador wins the Ecuador vs Curacao professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Ecuador vs Curacao professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oraclefifa.comConsensus of Sources