Live prediction market odds for Ecuador vs Germany. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-27
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Ecuador and Germany scheduled for June 27, 2026. This event is crucial as it could impact both teams' standings in the tournament and influence their chances of advancing further in the competition.
Germany leads Ecuador vs Germany at 60.5% implied probability, followed by Ecuador at 12.5%. A 17.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Odds are influenced by team performance, player injuries, and historical matchups. Additionally, fan support and venue conditions can also play a role.
The outcome can determine which teams advance to the knockout stages. Winning or losing could significantly alter the trajectory of both teams in the tournament.
This match represents a clash between teams from different footballing cultures and styles. It showcases the global nature of the sport and the competitive spirit of international tournaments.
Ecuador vs Germany is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Germany leads at 61% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Ecuador at 13%.
Germany currently leads at 61% implied probability. Behind Germany, Ecuador at 13% are the next closest contenders. The 17.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Germany
60.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Ecuador wins the Ecuador vs Germany professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Ecuador vs Germany professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the team that wins Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
