Question 1

What was "Cavaliers vs. Thunder" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Cavaliers vs. Thunder was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Oklahoma City Thunder led the market at 97% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Cleveland Cavaliers at 36%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Cavaliers vs. Thunder"?

Accepted Answer

Oklahoma City Thunder held the lead at 97% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Oklahoma City Thunder, Cleveland Cavaliers at 36% were the next closest contenders. The 100.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Cavaliers vs. Thunder" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Oklahoma City Thunder: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 93¢ on ProphetX. Cleveland Cavaliers: 100¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket, 8¢ on ProphetX. The 100.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 97% odds for Oklahoma City Thunder mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 97¢ meant the market estimated a 97% chance that Oklahoma City Thunder would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 97¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 3% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Oklahoma City ThunderWINNER	99%	100%	93%
Cleveland Cavaliers	100%	0%	8%

Oklahoma City Thunder Wins: Cavaliers vs. Thunder

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Cavaliers vs. Thunder