Live prediction market odds for Warriors vs. Mavericks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-22
This market resolved on 2026-01-22. Dallas Mavericks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 65%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Dallas MavericksWINNER | 99% | 32% |
Golden State Warriors | 1% | 69% |
Warriors vs. Mavericks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Dallas Mavericks led the market at 65% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 35%.
Dallas Mavericks held the lead at 65% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Dallas Mavericks, Golden State Warriors at 35% were the next closest contenders. The 67.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Dallas Mavericks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket. Golden State Warriors: 1¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. The 67.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 65¢ meant the market estimated a 65% chance that Dallas Mavericks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 65¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 54% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Dallas Mavericks
65.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Dallas wins the Golden State at Dallas professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
