Live prediction market odds for Lakers vs. Wizards. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-30
This market resolved on 2026-01-30. Los Angeles Lakers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 90%.
nba-lal-was-2026-01-30 : Sports event: Lakers vs. Wizards - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Los Angeles LakersWINNER | 99% | 81% |
Washington | 1% | 20% |
Lakers vs. Wizards was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Los Angeles Lakers led the market at 90% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Washington at 10%.
Los Angeles Lakers held the lead at 90% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Los Angeles Lakers, Washington at 10% were the next closest contenders. The 18.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Los Angeles Lakers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket. Washington: 1¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket. The 18.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 90¢ meant the market estimated a 90% chance that Los Angeles Lakers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 90¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 11% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Los Angeles Lakers
89.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Los Angeles L wins the Los Angeles L at Washington professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
