Live prediction market odds for Heat vs. Pacers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-10
This market resolved on 2026-01-10. Indiana Pacers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 65%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Indiana PacersWINNER | 99% | 32% |
Miami Heat | 1% | 69% |
Heat vs. Pacers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Indiana Pacers led the market at 65% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Miami Heat at 35%.
Indiana Pacers held the lead at 65% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Indiana Pacers, Miami Heat at 35% were the next closest contenders. The 67.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Indiana Pacers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket. Miami Heat: 1¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. The 67.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 65¢ meant the market estimated a 65% chance that Indiana Pacers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 65¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 54% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Indiana Pacers
65.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Indiana wins the Miami at Indiana professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
