Live prediction market odds for Suns vs. Pelicans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-26
This market resolved on 2025-12-26. Phoenix was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
PhoenixWINNER | 99% | 64% |
New Orleans | 1% | 37% |
Suns vs. Pelicans was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Phoenix led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New Orleans at 19%.
Phoenix held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Phoenix, New Orleans at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 35.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Phoenix: 99¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. New Orleans: 1¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. The 35.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Phoenix would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Phoenix
81.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New Orleans wins the Phoenix vs New Orleans professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 26, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
