Question 1

What was "Jazz vs. Grizzlies" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Jazz vs. Grizzlies was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Memphis Grizzlies led the market at 71% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Utah Jazz at 41%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Jazz vs. Grizzlies"?

Accepted Answer

Memphis Grizzlies held the lead at 71% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Memphis Grizzlies, Utah Jazz at 41% were the next closest contenders. The 42.4% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Jazz vs. Grizzlies" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Memphis Grizzlies: 57¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Utah Jazz: 44¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket, 34¢ on ProphetX. The 42.4% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 71% odds for Memphis Grizzlies mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 71¢ meant the market estimated a 71% chance that Memphis Grizzlies would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 71¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 41% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Memphis GrizzliesWINNER	57%	57%	99%
Utah Jazz	44%	44%	34%

Memphis Grizzlies Wins: Jazz vs. Grizzlies

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Jazz vs. Grizzlies