Live prediction market odds for Islanders vs. Kraken. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-21
This market resolved on 2026-01-21. SEA Kraken was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 74%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
SEA KrakenWINNER | 99% | 49% |
NYI Islanders | 1% | 52% |
Islanders vs. Kraken was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). SEA Kraken led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include NYI Islanders at 26%.
SEA Kraken held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind SEA Kraken, NYI Islanders at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 50.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: SEA Kraken: 99¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. NYI Islanders: 1¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. The 50.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that SEA Kraken would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
SEA Kraken
73.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf SEA Kraken wins the New York I at Seattle professional hockey game scheduled for Jan 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
