Live prediction market odds for Penguins vs. Islanders. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-03
This market resolved on 2026-02-03. NYI Islanders was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 73%.
nhl-pit-nyi-2026-02-03 : Sports event: Penguins vs. Islanders - nhl
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
NYI IslandersWINNER | 99% | 47% |
PIT Penguins | 1% | 54% |
Penguins vs. Islanders was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). NYI Islanders led the market at 73% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include PIT Penguins at 27%.
NYI Islanders held the lead at 73% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind NYI Islanders, PIT Penguins at 27% were the next closest contenders. The 52.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: NYI Islanders: 99¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. PIT Penguins: 1¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. The 52.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 73¢ meant the market estimated a 73% chance that NYI Islanders would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 73¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 37% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
NYI Islanders
72.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf PIT Penguins wins the Pittsburgh at New York I professional hockey game scheduled for Feb 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
