Live prediction market odds for Uruguay vs Spain. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-27
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Uruguay and Spain on June 27, 2026. This event is pivotal as it could influence the standings in the tournament and impact each team's chances of advancing further in the competition.
Spain leads Uruguay vs Spain at 80.0% implied probability, followed by Uruguay at 28.8%. A 25.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
The outcome of this match could determine the progression of both teams in the tournament. Winning or losing may affect their chances of advancing to the knockout stage.
Prediction markets aggregate betting odds based on various factors, including team performance and player conditions. As the match date approaches, these odds may fluctuate based on new information and public sentiment.
Key factors include team form, player injuries, historical performance, and head-to-head records. Additionally, external factors like weather conditions on match day may also play a role.
Uruguay vs Spain is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Spain leads at 80% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Uruguay at 29%.
Spain currently leads at 80% implied probability. Behind Spain, Uruguay at 29% are the next closest contenders. The 25.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Scanning for market catalysts...
Spain
80.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Uruguay wins the Uruguay vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Uruguay vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
