Live prediction market odds for Which film will win the most Oscars?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Opinion.
Kalshi / Opinion
2026-03-15
Kalshi and Opinion are tracking which film will win the most Oscars at the upcoming 2026 Academy Awards. This event is pivotal as it reflects industry trends, critical reception, and audience preferences leading up to the ceremony.
Marty Supreme leads Which film will win the most Oscars at 1.1% implied probability. Other contenders include One Battle After Another (75.4%), and Sinners (18.8%). A 28.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Factors include critical reviews, box office performance, and awards season momentum. Additionally, industry insider opinions and previous award wins can sway predictions.
The Oscars are scheduled for March 15, 2026. This date is significant as it marks the culmination of the awards season.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their predictions of outcomes. Prices fluctuate based on collective sentiment and information about the films and their chances.
Which film will win the most Oscars is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Opinion). Marty Supreme leads at 1% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include One Battle After Another at 68%, Sinners at 33%.
Marty Supreme currently leads at 1% implied probability. Behind Marty Supreme, One Battle After Another at 68% and Sinners at 33% are the next closest contenders. The 28.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Marty Supreme
1.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Marty Supreme wins the most awards at 98th Oscars, the market resolves to Yes.
If two nominees tie for most awards, the market will resolve to 50/50.
