Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the House race for SC-07?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and Opinion.
Kalshi / Polymarket / Opinion
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the House race for SC-07 ahead of the 2026 elections. This contest is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, impacting legislative priorities and governance.
Democratic party leads Which party will win the House race for SC-07 at 55.1% implied probability, followed by Republican party at 42.2%. A 81.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Key factors include voter demographics, local issues, and national political trends. Polling data and candidate performance also play significant roles.
Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants who wager on outcomes, providing a real-time snapshot of public sentiment. Shifts in odds can indicate changing perceptions as the election date approaches.
SC-07 is considered a battleground district that could swing either way, making it pivotal for both parties. Winning this seat could enhance a party's chances of gaining a majority in the House.
Which party will win the House race for SC-07 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, Opinion). Democratic party leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican party at 56%.
Democratic party currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Democratic party, Republican party at 56% are the next closest contenders. The 81.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Democratic party
55.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for SC-07 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
