About This Market
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking who will advance from the CA-11 primary on June 2, 2026. This primary is crucial as it will determine key candidates for the general election, impacting party dynamics and voter turnout in the region.
Scott Wiener leads Who will advance from the CA-11 primary at 76.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Saikat Chakrabarti (52.8%), Connie Chan (21.9%), and David Ganezer (0.1%). A 38.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

