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MarketsWhalesArbTrending

Live prediction market odds for #1 Searched Person on Google this year?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

Kalshi / Polymarket

#1 Searched Person on Google this year?

2025-12-31

About This Market

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Andy Byron leads the “#1 Searched Person on Google this year” event at 25.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Bad Bunny (25.5%), Benjamin Netanyahu (25.5%), Bianca Censori (25.5%), and Charlie Kirk (25.5%). A 49.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

Live Markets

2 platforms
AB
Andy Byron
50% Avg
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
50.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%50¢50¢50¢50¢
BB
Bad Bunny
50% Avg
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
50.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%50¢50¢50¢50¢
BN
Benjamin Netanyahu
50% Avg
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
50.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%50¢50¢50¢50¢
BC
Bianca Censori
50% Avg
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
50.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%50¢50¢50¢50¢
CK
Charlie Kirk
50% Avg
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
50.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%50¢50¢50¢50¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "#1 Searched Person on Google this year?" and why does it matter?

#1 Searched Person on Google this year is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Andy Byron leads at 26% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Bad Bunny at 26%, Benjamin Netanyahu at 26%, Bianca Censori at 26%.

What is moving the odds on "#1 Searched Person on Google this year?"?

Andy Byron currently leads at 26% implied probability. Behind Andy Byron, Bad Bunny at 26% and Benjamin Netanyahu at 26% and Bianca Censori at 26% are the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "#1 Searched Person on Google this year?" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Andy Byron: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Bad Bunny: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Benjamin Netanyahu: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Bianca Censori: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that Andy Byron is at 26%?

A price of 26¢ means the market estimates a 26% probability that Andy Byron will be the outcome. Buying one share at 26¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 285% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Google Trends
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread49.0%
Platforms2
Candidates18
Leader

Andy Byron

25.5% avg

Market Rulebook: #1 Searched Person on Google this year?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Donald Trump is the #1 search on 'Google’s Year in Search 2025 Global – People' in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Google Trends
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No price history available