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Live prediction market odds for #2 US Netflix Movie this week?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi / Polymarket

#2 US Netflix Movie this week?

2026-03-17

About This Market

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the #2 US Netflix Movie this week. Viewer preferences and streaming trends play a crucial role in determining which film captures the audience's attention and ranks high on the platform.

Kpop Demon Hunters leads #2 US Netflix Movie this week at 5.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Jurassic World Rebirth (5.1%), War Machine (3.7%), and Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere (0.9%). A 6.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

Live Markets

2 platforms
KD
Kpop Demon Hunters
5% Avg
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket15¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%0¢4¢96¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
8.5%2¢15¢85¢98¢
JW
Jurassic World Rebirth
6% Avg
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket12¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
3.5%3¢4¢96¢97¢
PolymarketPolymarket
7.5%3¢12¢88¢97¢
WM
War Machine
3% Avg
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%0¢4¢96¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.5%2¢5¢95¢98¢
LT
Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere
1% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the ranking of Netflix movies?

Viewer ratings, social media buzz, and promotional efforts significantly impact a movie's ranking on Netflix. Additionally, the release schedule of competing films can also affect audience choices.

How often do Netflix movie rankings change?

Netflix updates its movie rankings weekly, reflecting viewer engagement and new releases. This dynamic nature means that rankings can shift rapidly based on audience preferences.

What platforms are used for predicting Netflix movie rankings?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the primary platforms for tracking predictions related to Netflix movie rankings. These platforms allow users to speculate on various entertainment outcomes based on real-time data.

What is "#2 US Netflix Movie this week?" and why does it matter?

#2 US Netflix Movie this week is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Kpop Demon Hunters leads at 5% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jurassic World Rebirth at 5%, War Machine at 4%, Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere at 1%.

What is moving the odds on "#2 US Netflix Movie this week?"?

Kpop Demon Hunters currently leads at 5% implied probability. Behind Kpop Demon Hunters, Jurassic World Rebirth at 5% and War Machine at 4% and Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere at 1% are the next closest contenders. The 6.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread6.5%
Platforms2
Candidates4
Leader

Kpop Demon Hunters

5.3% avg

Market Rulebook: #2 US Netflix Movie this week?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If KPop Demon Hunters is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Mar 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Mar 17, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, March 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle