Live prediction market odds for 2025 Top Spotify Artist. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-31
This market resolved on 2025-12-31. Bad Bunny was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Bad BunnyWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Bruno Mars | 1% | 50% |
Drake | 1% | 50% |
Taylor Swift | 1% | 50% |
The Weeknd | 1% | 50% |
2025 Top Spotify Artist was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Bad Bunny led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Bruno Mars at 26%, Drake at 26%, Taylor Swift at 26%.
Bad Bunny held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Bad Bunny, Bruno Mars at 26% and Drake at 26% and Taylor Swift at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Bad Bunny: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Bruno Mars: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Drake: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Taylor Swift: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Bad Bunny would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Bad Bunny
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Bad Bunny is the most streamed Spotify artist in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
