Prediction Hunt
2025 Trump Pardon (December 31, 2025)
Live Prediction Market Odds & Analysis
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Times shown in ET
📝 Overview
📈 Market Analysis
Win Probability
7.0%
Steve Bannon
Underdog
Volatility (7D)
15.4%
High
Moves ±1.02¢ per week
Market Consensus
Conflict
0.0% agreement
📊 Market Comparison
📥 Historical Data Download
Explore prediction market odds and contract prices for the "2025 Trump Pardon" event. This dataset aggregates real-time prices and implied probabilities from all major prediction markets, including Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt.
❓ FAQ
Prediction market odds are real-time probabilities based on how traders are buying and selling shares on
platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.
Instead of a sportsbook setting the line, these odds come directly from market activity — so the prediction
market odds for the “” event shift whenever traders change their views.
Every exchange has its own users, liquidity, and sentiment. That’s why prediction market odds for the same
event may look slightly different across platforms. Traders on Kalshi might be
more confident in Outcome A, while Polymarket may
lean toward Outcome B — and Prediction Hunt helps you compare all of these prediction
market odds in one place.
Prediction Hunt refreshes the feed every 5 minutes, so the prediction market
odds for Outcome A, Outcome B, and others in this event
will be up to date. If something big happens — news, injuries, momentum shifts — you’ll see it reflected quickly
in the markets.
They can be! Prediction market odds often react faster than expert predictions or power rankings because they reflect
what thousands of traders believe in real time. While nothing guarantees accuracy, the prediction market odds generally
provide a strong signal of current sentiment.
People often compare prediction market odds for the “” event with sportsbook lines
or forecasting models to see where the market disagrees. It’s not betting advice, but these odds give you a clean,
market-driven view of how likely each outcome appears based on live trading.
Everything from breaking news to lineup changes, performance trends, rumors, or even sharp trader activity. Since
prediction market odds are fully market-driven, any shift in sentiment about Outcome A
or Outcome B shows up quickly.
No single platform tells the full story. By pulling data from Kalshi, Polymarket,
and more soon, Prediction Hunt lets you see the full landscape of prediction market odds for the "" event — highlighting
disagreements, trends, and potential value.
Currently, Steve Bannon is the market favorite with an implied probability of 7.0%. This is calculated by weighting volume across Kalshi, Polymarket.
Odds vary by exchange. As of today, Polymarket offers the best price for the favorite at 7.0¢, while other platforms is trading at different prices¢.
Yes. We have detected a price spread of —¢ between Kalshi and Polymarket suggesting a potential arbitrage or "risk-free" trade.
While Steve Bannon leads, the runner-up currently has a —% chance. Prediction markets update every 5 minutes, so these odds can shift rapidly based on breaking news.
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