Live prediction market odds for 2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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Polymarket / Predict.fun
2026-06-03
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
Chun Jae-soo leads the “2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner” event at 77.4% implied probability, followed by Park Heong-joon at 21.3%. A 6.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, Predict.fun). Chun Jae-soo leads at 77% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Park Heong-joon at 25%.
Chun Jae-soo currently leads at 77% implied probability. Behind Chun Jae-soo, Park Heong-joon at 25% are the next closest contenders. The 6.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Predict.fun: Chun Jae-soo: 76¢ on Polymarket. Park Heong-joon: 25¢ on Polymarket. The 6.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ means the market estimates a 77% probability that Chun Jae-soo will be the outcome. Buying one share at 77¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 30% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Chun Jae-soo
77.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.fun{'description': 'The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nIf the result of this election isn\'t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.\n\nCreated At: 2026-03-02T12:58:37.172556056Z'}
