Live prediction market odds for 2026 College Football Championship. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-01
This market resolved on 2026-01-01. Indiana was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
IndianaWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Arizona State | 1% | 50% |
Auburn | 1% | 50% |
Baylor | 1% | 50% |
Clemson | 1% | 50% |
Florida St | 1% | 50% |
Georgia | 1% | 50% |
Georgia Tech | 1% | 50% |
Iowa St | 1% | 50% |
Kansas State | 1% | 50% |
Kansas State | 1% | 50% |
Louisville | 1% | 50% |
LSU | 1% | 50% |
Michigan St | 1% | 50% |
Missouri St | 1% | 50% |
Nebraska | 1% | 50% |
Northern Illinois | 1% | 50% |
Notre Dame | 1% | 50% |
Ohio State | 1% | 50% |
Oklahoma St | 1% | 50% |
Ole Miss | 1% | 50% |
Oregon St | 1% | 50% |
Penn State | 1% | 50% |
SMU | 1% | 50% |
South Alabama | 1% | 50% |
South Carolina | 1% | 50% |
South Florida | 1% | 50% |
South Florida | 1% | 50% |
TCU | 1% | 50% |
Tennessee | 1% | 50% |
USC | 1% | 50% |
Utah St | 1% | 50% |
Western Michigan | 1% | 50% |
Western Michigan | 1% | 50% |
Western Michigan | 1% | 50% |
2026 College Football Championship was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Indiana led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Arizona State at 26%, Auburn at 26%, Baylor at 26%.
Indiana held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Indiana, Arizona State at 26% and Auburn at 26% and Baylor at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Indiana: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Arizona State: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Auburn: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Baylor: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Indiana would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Indiana
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf South Carolina wins the College Football Playoff National Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
