About This Market
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the 2026 Farrer by-election. This election will determine representation in Parliament, influencing legislative priorities and party dynamics in the lead-up to the next general election.
Michelle Milthorpe leads the “2026 Farrer by-election winner” event at 27.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Rebecca Scriven (5.0%), and Helen Dalton (2.4%). A 8.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

