Live prediction market odds for 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. Christian McCaffrey was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Christian McCaffreyWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Aidan Hutchinson | 1% | 50% |
Anthony Richardson | 1% | 50% |
Brandon Aiyuk | 1% | 50% |
Chris Godwin | 1% | 50% |
Chris Olave | 1% | 50% |
Dak Prescott | 1% | 50% |
Dre Greenlaw | 1% | 50% |
J.J. McCarthy | 1% | 50% |
Maxx Crosby | 1% | 50% |
Rashee Rice | 1% | 50% |
Rashid Shaheed | 1% | 50% |
Stefon Diggs | 1% | 50% |
Tank Dell | 1% | 50% |
Trevor Lawrence | 1% | 50% |
Tua Tagovailoa | 1% | 50% |
2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Christian McCaffrey led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Aidan Hutchinson at 26%, Anthony Richardson at 26%, Brandon Aiyuk at 26%.
Christian McCaffrey held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Christian McCaffrey, Aidan Hutchinson at 26% and Anthony Richardson at 26% and Brandon Aiyuk at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Christian McCaffrey: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Aidan Hutchinson: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Anthony Richardson: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Brandon Aiyuk: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Christian McCaffrey would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Christian McCaffrey
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Aidan Hutchinson wins the Pro football AP Comeback Player of the Year in the 2025-26 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
