Live prediction market odds for 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and Opinion and Predict.fun.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / Opinion / Predict.fun
Resolved 2026-06-03
This market resolved on 2026-06-03. Oh Se-hoon was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election. This election will determine the city's leadership and influence policies on key issues such as urban development and public safety.
| Candidate |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Oh Se-hoonWINNER | 100% | 97% | 25% | 100% |
Chong Won-oh | 1% | 2% | 61% |
The election is scheduled for June 3, 2026. This date is crucial as it will determine the next mayor of Seoul.
Polymarket and Kalshi are currently tracking the Seoul Mayoral Election. These platforms provide real-time odds on the candidates.
The outcome of this election will shape the city's governance and affect policies on urban issues. Leadership changes can lead to shifts in priorities for public services and infrastructure.
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 4 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, Opinion, Predict.fun). Oh Se-hoon led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Chong Won-oh at 2%.
Oh Se-hoon held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Oh Se-hoon, Chong Won-oh at 2% were the next closest contenders. The 74.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf Oh Se-hoon wins the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner. The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline. If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.
OpinionThe 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
PolymarketThe 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Predict.fun{'description': 'The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nIf the result of this election isn\'t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.'}
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Oh Se-hoon
80.6% avg
