Question 1

When is the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election scheduled?

Accepted Answer

The election is scheduled for June 3, 2026. This date is crucial as it will determine the next mayor of Seoul.

Question 2

What platforms are tracking the Seoul Mayoral Election?

Accepted Answer

Polymarket and Kalshi are currently tracking the Seoul Mayoral Election. These platforms provide real-time odds on the candidates.

Question 3

Why does the Seoul Mayoral Election matter?

Accepted Answer

The outcome of this election will shape the city's governance and affect policies on urban issues. Leadership changes can lead to shifts in priorities for public services and infrastructure.

Question 4

What is "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner" and why does it matter?

Accepted Answer

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, Opinion). Chong Won-oh leads at 85% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Seo Young-kyo at 21%, Jeon Hyun-heui at 30%, Park Ju-min at 16%.

Question 5

What is moving the odds on "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner"?

Accepted Answer

Chong Won-oh currently leads at 85% implied probability. Behind Chong Won-oh, Seo Young-kyo at 21% and Jeon Hyun-heui at 30% and Park Ju-min at 16% are the next closest contenders. The 37.6% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 6

What are the current odds for "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, Opinion: Chong Won-oh: 89¢ on Kalshi, 87¢ on Polymarket. Seo Young-kyo: 2¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. Jeon Hyun-heui: 30¢ on Polymarket. Park Ju-min: 1¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. The 37.6% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 7

What does it mean that Chong Won-oh is at 85%?

Accepted Answer

A price of 85¢ means the market estimates a 85% probability that Chong Won-oh will be the outcome. Buying one share at 85¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 18% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	89.5%	89¢	90¢	10¢	11¢
Polymarket	88.0%	87¢	89¢	11¢	13¢
Opinion	79.0%	65¢	93¢	7¢	35¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	2.0%	0¢	4¢	96¢	100¢
Polymarket	35.0%	30¢	40¢	60¢	70¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Polymarket	35.0%	30¢	40¢	60¢	70¢
Opinion	1.0%	1¢	1¢	99¢	99¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	0.5%	0¢	1¢	99¢	100¢
Polymarket	35.0%	30¢	40¢	60¢	70¢
Opinion	14.0%	2¢	26¢	74¢	98¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	10.5%	10¢	11¢	89¢	90¢
Polymarket	9.0%	8¢	10¢	90¢	92¢

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

Candidate Spotlight

About Chong Won-oh

About Seo Young-kyo

About Oh Se-hoon

Frequently Asked Questions

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner