Live prediction market odds for 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-03
Market Summary
In the latest prediction market odds for 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner, Chong Won-oh leads with an average implied probability of 79.0%. Top contenders trailing the frontrunner include Oh Se-hoon (13.5%) and Park Ju-min (3.3%). Traders monitoring this market will find an active arbitrage window with a 2.0% spread across platforms.
Market Narrative // Why the odds are moving
South Korean former President Yoon Suk Yeol was quickly impeached and later sentenced related to his declaration of martial law; this sustained legal and political fallout diminishes his prospects and may shift voter support in the 2026 Seoul mayoral race.. Meanwhile, The Sun Chronicle reports: former south korean president yoon suk yeol received a life sentence for rebellion due to his short-lived martial law declaration; his defiance and lack of a clear appeal plan could impact his political viability ahead of the 2026 seoul mayoral election..
Sources: CNN / The Sun Chronicle
Resolution
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Chong Won-oh
79.0% avg
