Live prediction market odds for 2026 Women’s Australian Open Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-31
This market resolved on 2026-01-31. Elena Rybakina was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Elena RybakinaWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Amanda Anisimova | 1% | 50% |
Anna Kalinskaya | 1% | 50% |
Aryna Sabalenka | 1% | 50% |
Belinda Bencic | 1% | 50% |
Clara Tauson | 1% | 50% |
Coco Gauff | 1% | 50% |
Diana Shnaider | 1% | 50% |
Elina Svitolina | 1% | 50% |
Elise Mertens | 1% | 50% |
Emma Navarro | 1% | 50% |
Emma Raducanu | 1% | 50% |
Jasmine Paolini | 1% | 50% |
Jessica Pegula | 1% | 50% |
Leylah Fernandez | 1% | 50% |
Madison Keys | 1% | 50% |
Marta Kostyuk | 1% | 50% |
Mirra Andreeva | 1% | 50% |
Naomi Osaka | 1% | 50% |
Victoria Mboko | 1% | 50% |
2026 Women’s Australian Open Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Elena Rybakina led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Amanda Anisimova at 26%, Anna Kalinskaya at 26%, Aryna Sabalenka at 26%.
Elena Rybakina held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Elena Rybakina, Amanda Anisimova at 26% and Anna Kalinskaya at 26% and Aryna Sabalenka at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Elena Rybakina: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Amanda Anisimova: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Anna Kalinskaya: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Aryna Sabalenka: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Elena Rybakina would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Elena Rybakina
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Mirra Andreeva wins the 2026 Women's Australian Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the 2026 Women's Australian Open professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official action that removes them from being able to win the 2026 Women's Australian Open professional tennis tournament, the market will resolve “No” for that participant.
