Live prediction market odds for 2028 Democratic nominee for President?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2028-11-07
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the 2028 Democratic nominee for President. This contest will shape the party's direction and strategy leading into the general election, influenced by voter sentiment and key endorsements.
Andrew Yang leads the “2028 Democratic nominee for President” event at 0.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Beto O’Rourke (0.4%), and Jasmine Crockett (0.4%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.6% spread.
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and public debates play crucial roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, shifts in voter sentiment and key events can lead to rapid changes in market prices.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future events. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of various candidates securing the nomination.
The nominee will represent the Democratic Party in the presidential election, impacting policy priorities and campaign strategies. Winning the nomination is crucial for candidates aiming to influence national issues and gain voter support.
2028 Democratic nominee for President is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Andrew Yang leads at 1% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Beto O’Rourke at 0%, Jasmine Crockett at 0%.
Andrew Yang currently leads at 1% implied probability. Behind Andrew Yang, Beto O’Rourke at 0% and Jasmine Crockett at 0% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.6% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Andrew Yang wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Andrew Yang
0.5% avg
