Live prediction market odds for 3rd largest company end of April?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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MARKET RESOLVEDPolymarket / Predict.fun
Resolved 2026-04-30
This market resolved on 2026-04-30. Apple was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
AppleWINNER | 83% | 99% |
Alphabet | 15% | 0% |
NVIDIA | 0% | 0% |
Saudi Aramco |
3rd largest company end of April was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, Predict.fun). Apple led the market at 91% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Alphabet at 15%, NVIDIA at 0%, Saudi Aramco at 0%.
Apple held the lead at 91% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Apple, Alphabet at 15% and NVIDIA at 0% and Saudi Aramco at 0% were the next closest contenders. The 16.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Polymarket, Predict.fun: Apple: 83¢ on Polymarket. Alphabet: 15¢ on Polymarket. NVIDIA: 0¢ on Polymarket. Saudi Aramco: 0¢ on Polymarket. The 16.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 91¢ meant the market estimated a 91% chance that Apple would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 91¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 10% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Apple
90.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.fun{'description': 'This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.'}
| 0% |
Amazon | 0% | 0% |
Oracle | 0% | 0% |
Tesla | 0% | 0% |
