Live prediction market odds for AFC Champion. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-01-26
Baltimore leads the “AFC Champion” event at 31.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Los Angeles C (26.0%), Buffalo (25.5%), Denver (25.5%), and Houston (25.5%). A 49.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
AFC Champion is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Baltimore leads at 31% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Los Angeles C at 26%, Buffalo at 26%, Denver at 26%.
Baltimore currently leads at 31% implied probability. Behind Baltimore, Los Angeles C at 26% and Buffalo at 26% and Denver at 26% are the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Baltimore: 12¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Los Angeles C: 2¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Buffalo: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Denver: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 31¢ means the market estimates a 31% probability that Baltimore will be the outcome. Buying one share at 31¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 223% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Baltimore
31.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Buffalo wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
