Live prediction market odds for AFC Champion. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-01-26
Buffalo leads the “AFC Champion” event at 25.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Denver (25.5%), Houston (25.5%), Jacksonville (25.5%), and Pittsburgh (25.5%). A 49.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
AFC Champion is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Buffalo leads at 26% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Denver at 26%, Houston at 26%, Jacksonville at 26%.
Buffalo currently leads at 26% implied probability. Behind Buffalo, Denver at 26% and Houston at 26% and Jacksonville at 26% are the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Buffalo: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Denver: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Houston: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Jacksonville: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 26¢ means the market estimates a 26% probability that Buffalo will be the outcome. Buying one share at 26¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 285% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Buffalo
25.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Buffalo wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
