Live prediction market odds for AFC Champion. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-26
This market resolved on 2026-01-26. New England was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
New EnglandWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Baltimore | 12% | 50% |
Los Angeles C | 2% | 50% |
Buffalo | 1% | 50% |
Cincinnati | 1% | 50% |
Cleveland | 1% | 50% |
Denver | 1% | 50% |
Houston | 1% | 50% |
Indianapolis | 1% | 50% |
Jacksonville | 1% | 50% |
Kansas City | 1% | 50% |
Las Vegas | 1% | 50% |
Miami | 1% | 50% |
New York J | 1% | 50% |
Pittsburgh | 1% | 50% |
Tennessee | 1% | 50% |
AFC Champion was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New England led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Baltimore at 31%, Los Angeles C at 26%, Buffalo at 26%.
New England held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New England, Baltimore at 31% and Los Angeles C at 26% and Buffalo at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New England: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Baltimore: 12¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Los Angeles C: 2¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Buffalo: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that New England would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
New England
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Buffalo wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
