Baltimore leads the “AFC Champion” event at 31.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Los Angeles C (26.0%), Buffalo (25.5%), Denver (25.5%), and Houston (25.5%). A 49.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
AFC Champion is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Baltimore leads at 31% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Los Angeles C at 26%, Buffalo at 26%, Denver at 26%.
What is moving the odds on "AFC Champion"?
Baltimore currently leads at 31% implied probability. Behind Baltimore, Los Angeles C at 26% and Buffalo at 26% and Denver at 26% are the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
What are the current odds for "AFC Champion" across platforms?
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Baltimore: 12¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Los Angeles C: 2¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Buffalo: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Denver: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
What does it mean that Baltimore is at 31%?
A price of 31¢ means the market estimates a 31% probability that Baltimore will be the outcome. Buying one share at 31¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 223% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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