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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 5.5% // +$550.00

Live prediction market odds for AFC South Division Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

AFC South Division Winner

2027-01-04

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the AFC South Division Winner market as teams compete for playoff positioning. The outcome will influence postseason matchups and could affect franchise strategies moving forward, depending on team performance and injuries throughout the season.

Houston Texans leads the “AFC South Division Winner” event at 43.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Jacksonville Jaguars (30.3%), Indianapolis Colts (15.3%), and Tennessee Titans (10.5%). A 5.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
HT
Houston Texans
43% Avg
Kalshi43¢
Polymarket46¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
42.5%42¢43¢57¢58¢
PolymarketPolymarket
43.5%41¢46¢54¢59¢
JJ
Jacksonville Jaguars
30% Avg
Kalshi33¢
Polymarket34¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
32.5%32¢33¢67¢68¢
PolymarketPolymarket
27.5%21¢34¢66¢79¢
JJ
Jacksonville Jaguars
30% Avg
Kalshi33¢
Polymarket34¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
32.5%32¢33¢67¢68¢
PolymarketPolymarket
27.5%21¢34¢66¢79¢
IC
Indianapolis Colts
16% Avg
Kalshi18¢
Polymarket20¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
17.5%17¢18¢82¢83¢
PolymarketPolymarket
13.5%7¢20¢80¢93¢
IC
Indianapolis Colts
16% Avg
Kalshi18¢
Polymarket20¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
17.5%17¢18¢82¢83¢
PolymarketPolymarket
13.5%7¢20¢80¢93¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the AFC South Division Winner?

Team performance, player injuries, and head-to-head matchups significantly impact the odds. Additionally, betting trends and expert analyses can sway market perceptions.

How does the AFC South Division Winner affect playoff scenarios?

Winning the division secures a playoff berth, which can lead to home-field advantage in the postseason. This outcome can also shape the overall playoff picture, affecting matchups and strategies.

When does the AFC South Division Winner market close?

The market will close on January 4, 2027, coinciding with the conclusion of the regular NFL season. Final standings will determine the division winner and settle the market.

What is "AFC South Division Winner" and why does it matter?

AFC South Division Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Houston Texans leads at 43% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jacksonville Jaguars at 30%, Jacksonville Jaguars at 30%, Indianapolis Colts at 15%.

What is moving the odds on "AFC South Division Winner"?

Houston Texans currently leads at 43% implied probability. Behind Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars at 30% and Jacksonville Jaguars at 30% and Indianapolis Colts at 15% are the next closest contenders. The 5.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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KalshiKalshi
the Governing League
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread5.5%
Platforms2
Candidates7
Leader

Houston Texans

43.3% avg

Market Rulebook: AFC South Division Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Houston wins the Pro Football AFC South Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
the Governing League
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?