Live prediction market odds for Africa Cup of Nations Champion. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-31
This market resolved on 2026-03-31. Senegal was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Africa Cup of Nations Champion event. This tournament showcases top African national teams, with the winner gaining prestige and qualification for other international competitions.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
SenegalWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Mali | 6% | 50% |
Benin | 4% | 50% |
Burkina Faso | 3% | 50% |
South Africa | 2% | 50% |
Algeria | 1% | 50% |
Cameroon | 1% | 50% |
Egypt | 1% | 50% |
Ivory Coast | 1% | 50% |
Morocco | 1% | 50% |
Nigeria | 1% | 50% |
Sudan | 1% | 50% |
Tanzania | 1% | 50% |
Tunisia | 1% | 50% |
Mozambique | 0% | 50% |
The Africa Cup of Nations is scheduled for March 2026. The tournament will feature national teams from across Africa competing for the championship.
Odds are influenced by team performance in qualifiers, player injuries, and historical success in the tournament. Recent match results and team dynamics also play a crucial role.
The Africa Cup of Nations is held every two years. It is one of the premier football tournaments in Africa, showcasing the continent's best talent.
Africa Cup of Nations Champion was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Senegal led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Mali at 28%, Benin at 27%, Burkina Faso at 27%.
Senegal held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Senegal, Mali at 28% and Benin at 27% and Burkina Faso at 27% were the next closest contenders. The 50.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Morocco is the 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the national team that wins the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025 based on the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025 is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/soccer/league/_/name/caf.nations); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Senegal
99.5% avg
