Live prediction market odds for AL-02 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the AL-02 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in the House of Representatives, impacting legislative agendas and party strategies.
Democratic Party leads the “AL-02 House winner” event at 92.8% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 7.0%. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and polling data leading up to the election. Additionally, national political trends and local issues can sway voter sentiment.
The AL-02 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date aligns with the general election day for federal offices.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of the race's outcome. Prices reflect the collective sentiment of traders regarding the likelihood of each candidate winning.
AL-02 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 93% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 7%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 93% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 7% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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Democratic Party
92.8% avg
