Live prediction market odds for AL-06 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the AL-06 House race for the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment in Alabama.
Republican Party leads the “AL-06 House winner” event at 52.3% implied probability, followed by Democratic Party at 48.8%. A 87.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and local issues that resonate with voters. Additionally, national trends and party support can significantly sway the election results.
The election for the AL-06 House seat is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle in the United States.
Prediction markets aggregate bets from participants, reflecting their expectations about the race outcome. As new information emerges, such as polling data or candidate events, the odds can fluctuate, providing insights into public sentiment.
AL-06 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican Party leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic Party at 49%.
Republican Party currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind Republican Party, Democratic Party at 49% are the next closest contenders. The 87.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Republican Party
52.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for AL-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
