Live prediction market odds for AL Cy Young Winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-12
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the AL Cy Young Winner for the 2026 season. This award impacts player legacies and team dynamics, influencing future contracts and fan engagement in Major League Baseball.
Tarik Skubal leads the “AL Cy Young Winner” event at 29.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Jose Soriano (18.8%), Cam Schlittler (11.3%), Bryan Woo (10.3%), and Dylan Cease (9.6%). A 10.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Pitching statistics, team performance, and player health significantly impact the odds. Additionally, media coverage and fan sentiment can sway perceptions of candidates.
The AL Cy Young Winner is typically announced in November, following the conclusion of the regular MLB season. This timing allows for a comprehensive evaluation of player performances.
Prediction markets aggregate data from various sources, including expert analyses and betting trends. The odds reflect collective expectations about which players are most likely to win.
AL Cy Young Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tarik Skubal leads at 29% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jose Soriano at 19%, Cam Schlittler at 11%, Bryan Woo at 10%.
Tarik Skubal currently leads at 29% implied probability. Behind Tarik Skubal, Jose Soriano at 19% and Cam Schlittler at 11% and Bryan Woo at 10% are the next closest contenders. The 10.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tarik Skubal wins the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Tarik Skubal
29.3% avg
