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Live prediction market odds for Alaves vs Barcelona. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Alaves vs Barcelona

2026-05-13

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Alaves and Barcelona on May 13, 2026. The outcome of this game could impact league standings and playoff qualifications, making it a crucial fixture for both teams.

FC Barcelona leads the “Alaves vs Barcelona” event at 24.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Deportivo Alavés (62.8%), and Draw (Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona) (13.3%). A 72.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
FB
FC BarcelonaARB
25% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket49¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
48.5%48¢49¢51¢52¢
DA
Deportivo AlavésARB
63% Avg
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket27¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
99.5%99¢100¢0¢1¢
PolymarketPolymarket
26.5%26¢27¢73¢74¢
D(
Draw (Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona)ARB
13% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket26¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
25.5%25¢26¢74¢75¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the implications of this match for league standings?

The result of the Alaves vs Barcelona match can significantly affect both teams' positions in the league table. A win for Barcelona could solidify their title chase, while Alaves may fight for relegation survival.

How does the performance of each team leading up to this match affect the odds?

Recent performances, including wins, losses, and injuries, play a crucial role in shaping the odds for this match. Analysts consider these factors to predict potential outcomes.

What historical context should be considered for this matchup?

Historically, Barcelona has dominated this fixture, but Alaves has had surprising results in recent encounters. Previous matchups can influence public sentiment and betting behavior leading up to the game.

What is "Alaves vs Barcelona" and why does it matter?

Alaves vs Barcelona is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). FC Barcelona leads at 25% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Deportivo Alavés at 63%, Draw (Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona) at 13%.

What is moving the odds on "Alaves vs Barcelona"?

FC Barcelona currently leads at 25% implied probability. Behind FC Barcelona, Deportivo Alavés at 63% and Draw (Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona) at 13% are the next closest contenders. The 72.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
OpinionOpinion
Opinion AI
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread72.5%
Platforms2

Market Rulebook: Alaves vs Barcelona

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket and Predict.fun.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Alaves wins the Alaves vs Barcelona professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Alaves vs Barcelona professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
OpinionOpinion
Primary Rule

Resolves Yes if the match ends in a draw after regular time. Resolves No if either team wins. Does not apply in competitions where draws are not possible.

Resolution Oracles
Opinion AI
PolymarketPolymarket
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 13, 2026 If Deportivo Alavés wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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Candidates3
Leader

FC Barcelona

24.8% avg

No price history available