Live prediction market odds for Aligned Layer FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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Polymarket / Predict.fun
2028-01-01
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
$20M leads the “Aligned Layer FDV above ___ one day after launch” event at 90.8% implied probability. Other contenders include $50M (87.8%), $100M (74.8%), and $200M (39.1%). A 3.6% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Aligned Layer FDV above ___ one day after launch is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, Predict.fun). $20M leads at 91% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include $50M at 86%, $100M at 76%, $200M at 39%.
$20M currently leads at 91% implied probability. Behind $20M, $50M at 86% and $100M at 76% and $200M at 39% are the next closest contenders. The 3.6% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Predict.fun: $20M: 91¢ on Polymarket. $50M: 86¢ on Polymarket. $100M: 76¢ on Polymarket. $200M: 39¢ on Polymarket. The 3.6% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 91¢ means the market estimates a 91% probability that $20M will be the outcome. Buying one share at 91¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 10% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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$20M
90.8% avg
