About This Market
50+ bps decrease is priced at 12.8% implied probability for the “April 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents” event. A 24.4% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Live prediction market odds for April 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents. Compare prices across Polymarket and Opinion.
Polymarket / Opinion
April 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents
2026-04-29
Price History
Multi-Platform ProbabilitiesNo price history available
Live Markets
2 platforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What is "April 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents" and why does it matter?
April 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, Opinion). 50+ bps decrease leads at 13% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
What is moving the odds on "April 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents"?
50+ bps decrease currently leads at 13% implied probability. The 24.4% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
What are the current odds for "April 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents" across platforms?
Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Opinion: 50+ bps decrease: 1¢ on Polymarket. The 24.4% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
What does it mean that 50+ bps decrease is at 13%?
A price of 13¢ means the market estimates a 13% probability that 50+ bps decrease will be the outcome. Buying one share at 13¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 669% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.