Live prediction market odds for AR-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of the AR-01 House race set for November 3, 2026. This election is crucial as it could impact the balance of power in Congress, influencing legislative priorities and national policies.
Republican Party leads the “AR-01 House winner” event at 92.5% implied probability, followed by Democratic Party at 7.3%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Polling data, candidate fundraising, and voter turnout projections are key factors. Additionally, local issues and national trends can sway public opinion leading up to the election.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.
Winning the AR-01 House seat could help either party gain a critical edge in the House of Representatives. This could affect legislative agendas and the overall political landscape leading into the next election cycle.
AR-01 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican Party leads at 93% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic Party at 7%.
Republican Party currently leads at 93% implied probability. Behind Republican Party, Democratic Party at 7% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “AR-01 House winner?” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Republican Party
92.5% avg
