Live prediction market odds for Arcium FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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Polymarket / Predict.fun
2028-01-01
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
$100M leads the “Arcium FDV above ___ one day after launch” event at 99.8% implied probability. Other contenders include $300M (93.7%), and $500M (1.3%). A 12.3% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Arcium FDV above ___ one day after launch is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, Predict.fun). $100M leads at 100% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include $300M at 88%, $500M at 2%.
$100M currently leads at 100% implied probability. Behind $100M, $300M at 88% and $500M at 2% are the next closest contenders. The 12.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Predict.fun: $100M: 100¢ on Polymarket. $300M: 88¢ on Polymarket. $500M: 2¢ on Polymarket. The 12.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ means the market estimates a 100% probability that $100M will be the outcome. Buying one share at 100¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 0% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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$100M
99.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.funThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arcium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Arcium will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arcium (https://x.com/Arcium) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".https://polymarket.com/event/betmoar-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch Created At: 2026-03-27T21:51:43.379323669Z
