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Live prediction market odds for Arizona Republican Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

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Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt

Arizona Republican Governor nominee?

2026-07-21

About This Market

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Prediction markets on Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the Arizona Republican Governor nominee for the upcoming election. The outcome could influence state policies and the Republican Party's strategy in Arizona as candidates vie for party support and voter approval.

Andy Biggs leads the “Arizona Republican Governor nominee” event at 93.1% implied probability, followed by Dave Schweikert at 3.3%. A 5.4% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
AB
Andy Biggs
93% Avg
Kalshi97¢
Polymarket93¢
PredictIt95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
94.5%92¢97¢3¢8¢
PolymarketPolymarket
92.0%91¢93¢7¢9¢
PredictItPredictIt
93.5%92¢95¢5¢8¢
DS
Dave Schweikert
5% Avg
Kalshi6¢
PredictIt8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
3.5%1¢6¢94¢100¢
PredictItPredictIt
7.0%6¢8¢92¢94¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Andy Biggs

Andy Biggs is a U.S. Representative from Arizona's 5th congressional district, serving since 2017. He is a candidate in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary. His current role and political experience make him a key contender in this race.

About Dave Schweikert

David Schweikert is a Republican U.S. Representative from Arizona's 1st congressional district. He has served in Congress since 2011 and is currently the Chairman of the Joint Economic Committee. He is running for the Republican nomination for Arizona governor in the 2026 election.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Arizona Republican Governor nominee?

Odds are influenced by candidate polling, endorsements, and campaign activities. Changes in public opinion and party dynamics also play a crucial role.

How does the nomination process work for the Arizona Republican Governor?

Candidates typically participate in primary elections to secure the nomination. The winner will represent the Republican Party in the general election.

What is at stake in the Arizona Governor race?

The Arizona Governor race can significantly impact state legislation and governance. The elected governor will shape policies on key issues affecting residents.

What is "Arizona Republican Governor nominee?" and why does it matter?

Arizona Republican Governor nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Andy Biggs leads at 93% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Dave Schweikert at 3%.

What is moving the odds on "Arizona Republican Governor nominee?"?

Andy Biggs currently leads at 93% implied probability. Behind Andy Biggs, Dave Schweikert at 3% are the next closest contenders. The 5.4% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Republican Party
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread5.4%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Andy Biggs

93.1% avg

Market Rulebook: Arizona Republican Governor nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Andy Biggs wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Arizona Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Republican Party
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