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MarketsWhalesArbTrending

Live prediction market odds for Arizona Republican Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt

Arizona Republican Governor nominee?

2026-07-21

About This Market

Share

Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Arizona Republican Governor nominee for the 2026 election. This race is pivotal as it could influence state policies and the Republican Party's direction in Arizona leading up to the general election.

Andy Biggs leads the “Arizona Republican Governor nominee” event at 97.4% implied probability. Other contenders include David Schweikert (1.8%), and Karrin Taylor Robson (1.2%). A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

Live Markets

3 platforms
AB
Andy Biggs
96% Avg
Kalshi98¢
Polymarket99¢
PredictIt97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
96.0%94¢98¢2¢6¢
PolymarketPolymarket
97.5%96¢99¢1¢4¢
PredictItPredictIt
95.5%94¢97¢3¢6¢
DS
David SchweikertARB
2% Avg
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket0¢
PredictIt5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%0¢4¢96¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.0%0¢0¢100¢100¢
PredictItPredictIt
3.5%2¢5¢95¢98¢
DS
David SchweikertARB
2% Avg
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket0¢
PredictIt5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%0¢4¢96¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.0%0¢0¢100¢100¢
PredictItPredictIt
3.5%2¢5¢95¢98¢
KT
Karrin Taylor Robson
1% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.0%0¢2¢98¢100¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Andy Biggs

Andy Biggs is the U.S. Representative for Arizona's 5th congressional district. He served as President of the Arizona Senate from 2013 to 2017. He is currently running for Governor of Arizona in the 2026 election.

About David Schweikert

David Schweikert is the U.S. Representative for Arizona's 1st congressional district, serving since 2011. He has been named Vice Chairman of the Joint Economic Committee and Chairman of the Ways and Means Subcommittee on Oversight. He is running for governor of Arizona in the 2026 election.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Arizona Republican Governor nominee?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign strategies significantly impact the odds. Additionally, voter sentiment and national political trends play crucial roles.

When is the primary election for the Arizona Republican Governor nominee?

The primary election is scheduled for July 21, 2026. This date is critical for candidates to secure their position ahead of the general election.

How do prediction markets work for political events like this one?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on the likelihood of specific outcomes. Prices fluctuate based on market sentiment and external factors, reflecting collective expectations.

What is "Arizona Republican Governor nominee?" and why does it matter?

Arizona Republican Governor nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Andy Biggs leads at 97% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include David Schweikert at 2%, David Schweikert at 2%, Karrin Taylor Robson at 1%.

What is moving the odds on "Arizona Republican Governor nominee?"?

Andy Biggs currently leads at 97% implied probability. Behind Andy Biggs, David Schweikert at 2% and David Schweikert at 2% and Karrin Taylor Robson at 1% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Republican Party
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.0%
Platforms3
Candidates4
Leader

Andy Biggs

97.4% avg

Market Rulebook: Arizona Republican Governor nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Andy Biggs wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Arizona Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Republican Party
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