Live prediction market odds for Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-08
Aldrich Potgieter leads the “Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner” event at 25.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Alexander Noren (25.5%), Andrew Novak (25.5%), Andrew Putnam (25.5%), and Ben Griffin (25.5%). A 49.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Aldrich Potgieter leads at 26% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Alexander Noren at 26%, Andrew Novak at 26%, Andrew Putnam at 26%.
Aldrich Potgieter currently leads at 26% implied probability. Behind Aldrich Potgieter, Alexander Noren at 26% and Andrew Novak at 26% and Andrew Putnam at 26% are the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Aldrich Potgieter: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Alexander Noren: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Andrew Novak: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Andrew Putnam: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 26¢ means the market estimates a 26% probability that Aldrich Potgieter will be the outcome. Buying one share at 26¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 285% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Aldrich Potgieter
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Daniel Bennett wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, then the market resolves to Yes.
25.5% avg
