Live prediction market odds for Aston Villa vs Liverpool. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-17
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Aston Villa and Liverpool on May 17, 2026. The outcome of this game could influence standings in the league and affect both teams' chances for European competition next season.
Liverpool FC leads the “Aston Villa vs Liverpool” event at 20.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Aston Villa FC (66.3%), and Tie (13.8%). A 65.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Aston Villa needs to secure points to improve their league position and enhance their chances of qualifying for European competitions. A win could significantly boost their confidence and momentum.
Liverpool's recent performances will heavily influence their odds in this match. A strong showing could solidify their position in the top tier of the league.
Injuries to key players, recent form, and head-to-head statistics will all play a crucial role in determining the match's outcome. Additionally, home advantage for Aston Villa could also be a significant factor.
Aston Villa vs Liverpool is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Liverpool FC leads at 20% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Aston Villa FC at 66%, Tie at 14%.
Liverpool FC currently leads at 20% implied probability. Behind Liverpool FC, Aston Villa FC at 66% and Tie at 14% are the next closest contenders. The 65.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf Aston Villa wins the Aston Villa vs Liverpool professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Aston Villa vs Liverpool professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
OpinionResolves Yes if Aston Villa wins the match. Resolves No otherwise, including draws where applicable.
Polymarket
Predict.fun{'description': 'In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 17, 2026\nIf Aston Villa FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to "No".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event\'s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.'}
Liverpool FC
20.3% avg
