About This Market
SharePolymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Atletico and Girona on May 17, 2026. This event is pivotal as it could influence league standings and playoff qualifications, impacting both teams' seasons significantly.
Live prediction market odds for Atletico vs Girona. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-17
This market resolved on 2026-05-17. Atletico was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 74%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Atletico and Girona on May 17, 2026. This event is pivotal as it could influence league standings and playoff qualifications, impacting both teams' seasons significantly.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
AtleticoWINNER | 99% | 50% |
Tie | 1% | 26% |
Girona FC | 1% | 25% |
Atletico is vying for a top position in the league, which could secure them a spot in the playoffs. A win is crucial for maintaining momentum as the season approaches its final stages.
Girona's performance in this match is critical for their survival in the league. A strong showing could bolster their chances of avoiding relegation.
Odds are influenced by team form, player injuries, and historical performance in head-to-head matchups. Additionally, fan support and home-field advantage can also play a role in shaping expectations.
Atletico vs Girona was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Atletico led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Tie at 13%, Girona FC at 13%.
Atletico held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Atletico, Tie at 13% and Girona FC at 13% were the next closest contenders. The 49.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Girona wins the Atletico vs Girona professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Atletico vs Girona professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
OpinionResolves Yes if Atletico Madrid wins the match. Resolves No otherwise, including draws where applicable.
PolymarketAtletico
74.3% avg