Live prediction market odds for Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs. Cameron Norrie. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-24
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs. Cameron Norrie — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo leads the “Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs. Cameron Norrie” event at 52.8% implied probability, followed by Cameron Norrie at 47.3%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs. Cameron Norrie is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Adolfo Daniel Vallejo leads at 53% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Cameron Norrie at 47%.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo currently leads at 53% implied probability. Behind Adolfo Daniel Vallejo, Cameron Norrie at 47% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo: 55¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Cameron Norrie: 46¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 53¢ means the market estimates a 53% probability that Adolfo Daniel Vallejo will be the outcome. Buying one share at 53¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 89% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Cameron Norrie wins the Norrie vs Vallejo professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Norrie vs Vallejo professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Cameron Norrie and Adolfo Vallejo in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cameron Norrie' if Cameron Norrie advances against Adolfo Vallejo. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Cameron Norrie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
52.8% avg
