Live prediction market odds for Adrian Mannarino vs. Ignacio Buse. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Adrian Mannarino vs. Ignacio Buse — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Adrian Mannarino is priced at 0.6% implied probability for the “Adrian Mannarino vs. Ignacio Buse” event. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread.
Adrian Mannarino vs. Ignacio Buse is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Adrian Mannarino leads at 1% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Adrian Mannarino currently leads at 1% implied probability. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Adrian Mannarino: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 1¢ means the market estimates a 1% probability that Adrian Mannarino will be the outcome. Buying one share at 1¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 9900% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Adrian Mannarino wins the Buse vs Mannarino professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Buse vs Mannarino professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Ignacio Buse and Adrian Mannarino in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Buse" if Ignacio Buse wins by 2 or more sets than Adrian Mannarino, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Mannarino." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Adrian Mannarino
0.6% avg
