Live prediction market odds for Adrian Mannarino vs. Nuno Borges. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-21
Adrian Mannarino vs. Nuno Borges — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Nuno Borges leads the “Adrian Mannarino vs. Nuno Borges” event at 58.5% implied probability, followed by Adrian Mannarino at 43.5%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Adrian Mannarino vs. Nuno Borges is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Nuno Borges leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Adrian Mannarino at 44%.
Nuno Borges currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Nuno Borges, Adrian Mannarino at 44% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Nuno Borges: 60¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Adrian Mannarino: 44¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 3.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Nuno Borges will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Adrian Mannarino wins the Borges vs Mannarino professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Borges vs Mannarino professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Adrian Mannarino in the Mallorca Championships, originally scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Nuno Borges. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Nuno Borges
58.5% avg
$50K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow
