Live prediction market odds for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Fabian Marozsan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-26
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Fabian Marozsan — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-26. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads the “Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Fabian Marozsan” event at 69.0% implied probability, followed by Fabian Marozsan at 31.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Fabian Marozsan is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads at 69% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Fabian Marozsan at 32%.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina currently leads at 69% implied probability. Behind Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, Fabian Marozsan at 32% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: 69¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. Fabian Marozsan: 32¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 69¢ means the market estimates a 69% probability that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will be the outcome. Buying one share at 69¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 45% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
69.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Fabian Marozsan wins the Marozsan vs Davidovich Fokina professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Marozsan vs Davidovich Fokina professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Semifinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Mallorca Championships, originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Davidovich Fokina' if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advances against Fabian Marozsan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
