Live prediction market odds for Alejandro Tabilo vs. Fabian Marozsan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-23
Alejandro Tabilo vs. Fabian Marozsan — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-23. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Alejandro Tabilo leads the “Alejandro Tabilo vs. Fabian Marozsan” event at 61.0% implied probability, followed by Fabian Marozsan at 42.0%. A 4.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Alejandro Tabilo vs. Fabian Marozsan is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alejandro Tabilo leads at 61% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Fabian Marozsan at 42%.
Alejandro Tabilo currently leads at 61% implied probability. Behind Alejandro Tabilo, Fabian Marozsan at 42% are the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alejandro Tabilo: 63¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. Fabian Marozsan: 43¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 61¢ means the market estimates a 61% probability that Alejandro Tabilo will be the outcome. Buying one share at 61¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 64% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Alejandro Tabilo wins the Marozsan vs Tabilo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Marozsan vs Tabilo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Alejandro Tabilo in the Mallorca Championships, originally scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Alejandro Tabilo. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Fabian Marozsan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alejandro Tabilo
61.0% avg
